Clarifications on Rules

Energy-Efficient Ghosts of Holiday Past
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Many thanks for the organizers for hosting this competition! @discourse-admin

In the notebook starter_notebook_scroogehouse.ipynb:

These three specific loads are denoted as `out.electricity.heating_hp_bkup.energy_consumption`, `out.electricity.heating.energy_consumption`, and `out.electricity.plug_loads.energy_consumption`... To forecast the Party load, your approach should involve forecasting the aforementioned three specific loads, **taking 30% of their total**, ...

Shouldn’t “taking 30% of their total” here be “adding 30% of their total”, based on the main page’s Challenge Structure section, which states that these columns “will surge by 30%”? It’s unclear how I should be calculating the labels to this competition.

Another question is, should the 30% increase be applied post-prediction, or pre-prediction? Or is this something that we have to decide?

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Hi @phann1230

As specified in both the Challenge description and the Starter Notebook, the Party cost refers to the additional cost of electricity in Scrooge’s house during that Party. Thus, the approach involves initially predicting the loads in the absence of the Party. Following this, compute 30% of the three predicted loads and combine it with the fixed load attributed to the additional devices. This composite figure represents the anticipated Party load. Then, calculate the anticipated Party cost based on this predicted Party load and the Time-of-Use (ToU) electricity pricing. This should answer both your questions.

Happy forecasting,
Onward Team

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